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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Tufts University2.54+1.35vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.00+3.37vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.08+0.16vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.97-2.33vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.56-0.85vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.01-2.74vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.32-2.36vs Predicted
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9Bentley University0.02-0.74vs Predicted
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11Yale University0.62-3.83vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University-1.37-2.27vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.47-4.14vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-1.50-4.98vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-1.74-5.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35Tufts University2.540.2%1st Place
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6.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.000.0%1st Place
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4.16Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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2.67Roger Williams University2.970.3%1st Place
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5.15Harvard University1.560.1%1st Place
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4.26Boston University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.64Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
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8.26Bentley University0.020.0%1st Place
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7.17Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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10.73Brandeis University-1.370.0%1st Place
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10.86Middlebury College-1.470.0%1st Place
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11.02University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
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11.36University of New Hampshire-1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Meade | 20.6% | 18.6% | 17.5% | 16.6% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole O'Brien | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 11.9% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 30.7% | 23.0% | 18.5% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Mende | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Benoit | 11.7% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristina Schneider | 1.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 15.2% | 22.9% | 18.5% | 10.5% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Henry Lewis | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 18.3% | 18.3% | 10.6% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Kelsey Dean | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 14.5% | 22.3% | 23.8% | 19.3% |
| Sebastian Kern | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 18.5% | 22.7% | 22.7% | 19.4% |
| Christopher Baker | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 7.8% | 13.6% | 19.1% | 24.0% | 26.0% |
| Emily Chase | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 11.6% | 18.1% | 23.8% | 34.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.