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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.97+1.65vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.56+2.22vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.54-0.67vs Predicted
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5Bentley University0.02+3.39vs Predicted
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6Yale University0.62+1.09vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.08-2.91vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.00-1.70vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.01-4.75vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.32-5.27vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-1.74-0.72vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-1.50-3.14vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.47-4.01vs Predicted
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16Brandeis University-1.37-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65Roger Williams University2.970.3%1st Place
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5.22Harvard University1.560.1%1st Place
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3.33Tufts University2.540.2%1st Place
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8.39Bentley University0.020.0%1st Place
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7.09Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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4.09Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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6.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.000.0%1st Place
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4.25Boston University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.73Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
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11.28University of New Hampshire-1.740.0%1st Place
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10.86University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
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10.99Middlebury College-1.470.0%1st Place
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10.85Brandeis University-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendal Richardson | 30.3% | 26.1% | 17.1% | 12.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Mende | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Meade | 20.0% | 19.6% | 19.1% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristina Schneider | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 22.0% | 19.4% | 11.8% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Henry Lewis | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 18.2% | 18.1% | 10.4% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Shannon Killian | 13.1% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole O'Brien | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Benoit | 11.9% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Chase | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 12.0% | 18.3% | 23.3% | 33.3% |
| Christopher Baker | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 16.2% | 21.6% | 23.8% | 19.7% |
| Sebastian Kern | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 7.7% | 14.9% | 18.0% | 25.9% | 24.1% |
| Kelsey Dean | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 8.3% | 15.8% | 22.3% | 21.3% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.