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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.97+1.65vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.08+2.16vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.54+0.37vs Predicted
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4Bentley University0.02+4.35vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.32+0.63vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.01-1.72vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.00-1.72vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.56-3.83vs Predicted
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10Yale University0.62-2.84vs Predicted
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11Brandeis University-1.37-0.26vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.47-3.18vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-1.50-3.98vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-1.74-5.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65Roger Williams University2.970.3%1st Place
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4.16Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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3.37Tufts University2.540.2%1st Place
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8.35Bentley University0.020.0%1st Place
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5.63Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
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4.28Boston University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.000.1%1st Place
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5.17Harvard University1.560.1%1st Place
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7.16Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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10.74Brandeis University-1.370.0%1st Place
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10.82Middlebury College-1.470.0%1st Place
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11.02University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
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11.37University of New Hampshire-1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendal Richardson | 30.7% | 24.4% | 18.1% | 12.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 12.3% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Meade | 19.6% | 20.1% | 17.2% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristina Schneider | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 20.7% | 19.7% | 11.3% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 6.6% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Benoit | 12.2% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole O'Brien | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Mende | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lewis | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 19.3% | 17.1% | 11.5% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Kelsey Dean | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 15.0% | 23.1% | 23.6% | 19.1% |
| Sebastian Kern | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 9.3% | 16.8% | 21.6% | 22.9% | 19.6% |
| Christopher Baker | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 7.4% | 14.3% | 18.8% | 24.3% | 25.8% |
| Emily Chase | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 11.7% | 17.8% | 23.8% | 34.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.