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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.97+1.62vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.56+3.24vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.32+2.78vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.01+0.29vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.54-1.74vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.08-1.91vs Predicted
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7Bentley University0.02+1.23vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.00-1.68vs Predicted
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12Yale University0.62-4.81vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.47-2.12vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University-1.37-3.34vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-1.74-4.64vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-1.50-5.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62Roger Williams University2.970.3%1st Place
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5.24Harvard University1.560.1%1st Place
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5.78Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
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4.29Boston University2.010.1%1st Place
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3.26Tufts University2.540.2%1st Place
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4.09Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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8.23Bentley University0.020.0%1st Place
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6.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.000.0%1st Place
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7.19Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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10.88Middlebury College-1.470.0%1st Place
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10.66Brandeis University-1.370.0%1st Place
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11.36University of New Hampshire-1.740.0%1st Place
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11.08University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendal Richardson | 31.8% | 23.3% | 18.6% | 12.8% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Mende | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 5.3% | 5.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Benoit | 11.8% | 11.7% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Meade | 21.1% | 21.9% | 15.4% | 16.7% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 12.1% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristina Schneider | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 22.9% | 19.2% | 10.7% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Nicole O'Brien | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 12.2% | 5.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lewis | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 14.0% | 18.7% | 19.2% | 10.6% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sebastian Kern | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 15.2% | 21.8% | 24.9% | 21.5% |
| Kelsey Dean | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 9.2% | 17.1% | 22.9% | 22.7% | 16.1% |
| Emily Chase | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 23.5% | 35.1% |
| Christopher Baker | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 13.9% | 21.3% | 23.0% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.