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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bentley University0.02+7.35vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.54+1.35vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.97-0.33vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.00+2.41vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.08-0.92vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.01-1.74vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.32-2.39vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.56-4.87vs Predicted
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11Yale University0.62-3.85vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University-1.37-2.28vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.47-3.15vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-1.50-3.98vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-1.74-5.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.35Bentley University0.020.0%1st Place
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3.35Tufts University2.540.2%1st Place
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2.67Roger Williams University2.970.3%1st Place
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6.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.000.0%1st Place
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4.08Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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4.26Boston University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.61Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
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5.13Harvard University1.560.1%1st Place
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7.15Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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10.72Brandeis University-1.370.0%1st Place
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10.85Middlebury College-1.470.0%1st Place
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11.02University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
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11.39University of New Hampshire-1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristina Schneider | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 22.6% | 19.4% | 11.3% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Colin Meade | 19.9% | 19.5% | 18.7% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 30.0% | 24.2% | 17.6% | 14.4% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole O'Brien | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 13.6% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Benoit | 12.3% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 17.5% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Mende | 7.9% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lewis | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 18.4% | 10.2% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Kelsey Dean | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 15.4% | 22.2% | 23.6% | 19.2% |
| Sebastian Kern | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 8.4% | 17.3% | 22.2% | 22.8% | 19.7% |
| Christopher Baker | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 14.5% | 18.9% | 23.9% | 25.9% |
| Emily Chase | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 24.2% | 34.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.