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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.97+1.62vs Predicted
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2Bentley University0.02+6.30vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.56+2.26vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.01+0.30vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.08-0.91vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.32-0.35vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.54-3.71vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.00-1.71vs Predicted
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10Yale University0.62-2.79vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-1.50-2.07vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.47-3.19vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-1.74-3.62vs Predicted
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16Brandeis University-1.37-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62Roger Williams University2.970.3%1st Place
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8.3Bentley University0.020.0%1st Place
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5.26Harvard University1.560.1%1st Place
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4.3Boston University2.010.1%1st Place
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4.09Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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5.65Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
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3.29Tufts University2.540.2%1st Place
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6.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.000.0%1st Place
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7.21Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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10.93University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
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10.81Middlebury College-1.470.0%1st Place
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11.38University of New Hampshire-1.740.0%1st Place
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10.87Brandeis University-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendal Richardson | 30.5% | 25.1% | 18.2% | 13.0% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristina Schneider | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 14.9% | 23.6% | 18.4% | 10.7% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| David Mende | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Benoit | 12.7% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 14.1% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Meade | 20.4% | 20.4% | 18.6% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole O'Brien | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 18.2% | 11.7% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lewis | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 20.0% | 17.9% | 12.1% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Baker | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 13.8% | 20.7% | 24.4% | 23.5% |
| Sebastian Kern | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 8.8% | 16.7% | 23.1% | 23.5% | 18.1% |
| Emily Chase | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 11.8% | 17.3% | 22.6% | 35.9% |
| Kelsey Dean | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 15.0% | 21.2% | 24.3% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.