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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.97+1.67vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.54+1.33vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.08+1.15vs Predicted
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4Yale University0.62+3.20vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.56+0.16vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.00-0.70vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.01-3.78vs Predicted
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9Bentley University0.02-0.73vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.32-4.25vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-1.47-1.12vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University-1.37-3.33vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-1.50-3.98vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-1.74-5.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67Roger Williams University2.970.3%1st Place
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3.33Tufts University2.540.2%1st Place
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4.15Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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7.2Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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5.16Harvard University1.560.1%1st Place
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6.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.000.0%1st Place
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4.22Boston University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.27Bentley University0.020.0%1st Place
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5.75Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
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10.88Middlebury College-1.470.0%1st Place
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10.67Brandeis University-1.370.0%1st Place
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11.02University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
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11.38University of New Hampshire-1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendal Richardson | 30.8% | 24.4% | 17.7% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Meade | 20.1% | 20.1% | 18.2% | 15.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 12.0% | 13.3% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lewis | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 18.2% | 16.9% | 11.4% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| David Mende | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicole O'Brien | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 12.3% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Benoit | 13.0% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristina Schneider | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 23.5% | 19.6% | 10.2% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sebastian Kern | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 14.2% | 21.4% | 24.7% | 21.9% |
| Kelsey Dean | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 9.0% | 18.6% | 22.7% | 22.1% | 16.4% |
| Christopher Baker | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 7.6% | 13.4% | 18.9% | 24.2% | 26.2% |
| Emily Chase | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 11.1% | 18.6% | 23.7% | 34.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.