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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.97+1.63vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.54+1.29vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.32+2.77vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.56+1.22vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.01-0.80vs Predicted
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7Bentley University0.02+1.33vs Predicted
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8Yale University0.62-0.92vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.08-4.91vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.00-3.59vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut-1.50-0.08vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.47-2.17vs Predicted
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16Brandeis University-1.37-5.17vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-1.74-5.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63Roger Williams University2.970.3%1st Place
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3.29Tufts University2.540.2%1st Place
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5.77Northeastern University1.320.0%1st Place
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5.22Harvard University1.560.1%1st Place
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4.2Boston University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.33Bentley University0.020.0%1st Place
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7.08Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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4.09Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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6.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.000.0%1st Place
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10.92University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
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10.83Middlebury College-1.470.0%1st Place
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10.83Brandeis University-1.370.0%1st Place
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11.39University of New Hampshire-1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendal Richardson | 30.9% | 24.5% | 18.4% | 12.4% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Meade | 20.0% | 22.1% | 16.1% | 16.8% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 4.9% | 5.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Mende | 7.6% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Benoit | 12.8% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kristina Schneider | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 23.8% | 17.4% | 10.9% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Henry Lewis | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 20.5% | 16.6% | 10.9% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 13.2% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole O'Brien | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 6.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Baker | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 7.1% | 14.4% | 21.2% | 23.5% | 23.6% |
| Sebastian Kern | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 17.8% | 21.7% | 22.8% | 19.9% |
| Kelsey Dean | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 15.7% | 20.6% | 24.7% | 20.2% |
| Emily Chase | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 11.6% | 18.4% | 23.0% | 35.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.