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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.46+2.25vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.01+2.46vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.59+0.43vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.70+0.06vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont-0.72+0.92vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University-0.19-1.00vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-1.89+1.51vs Predicted
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8Boston University-1.31-0.45vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.46+0.28vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-1.10-2.88vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25Salve Regina University0.4623.0%1st Place
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4.46McGill University0.0111.7%1st Place
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3.43Fairfield University0.5920.3%1st Place
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4.06University of Rhode Island0.7014.7%1st Place
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5.92University of Vermont-0.726.0%1st Place
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5.0Northeastern University-0.1910.8%1st Place
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8.51Brandeis University-1.891.8%1st Place
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7.55Boston University-1.312.9%1st Place
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9.28University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.461.1%1st Place
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7.12Bentley University-1.104.3%1st Place
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7.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.433.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 23.0% | 20.2% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Richards | 11.7% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 20.3% | 18.8% | 18.7% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| John Mason | 14.7% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Mungo McKemey | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| Grant Smith | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Miles Laker | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 23.2% | 23.5% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 18.1% | 16.4% | 10.7% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 17.5% | 45.3% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 6.9% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 17.9% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.