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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.97+1.64vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.08+1.19vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.56+1.25vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.54-1.68vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.00+0.32vs Predicted
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7Yale University0.62+0.11vs Predicted
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8Bentley University0.02+0.26vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.32-3.31vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-1.47-0.12vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.01-8.73vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-1.50-3.17vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-1.74-3.63vs Predicted
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16Brandeis University-1.37-5.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64Roger Williams University2.970.3%1st Place
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4.19Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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5.25Harvard University1.560.1%1st Place
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3.32Tufts University2.540.2%1st Place
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6.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.000.0%1st Place
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7.11Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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8.26Bentley University0.020.0%1st Place
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5.69Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
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10.88Middlebury College-1.470.0%1st Place
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4.27Boston University2.010.1%1st Place
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10.83University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
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11.37University of New Hampshire-1.740.0%1st Place
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10.86Brandeis University-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendal Richardson | 31.4% | 23.3% | 18.4% | 13.3% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 11.9% | 13.5% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Mende | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Meade | 20.9% | 17.5% | 18.7% | 16.8% | 12.5% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole O'Brien | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lewis | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 18.2% | 18.3% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kristina Schneider | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 22.9% | 19.9% | 10.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sebastian Kern | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 13.8% | 21.3% | 23.3% | 23.9% |
| Joseph Benoit | 12.8% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Baker | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 17.9% | 20.6% | 23.7% | 19.9% |
| Emily Chase | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 6.1% | 11.0% | 17.9% | 23.1% | 35.0% |
| Kelsey Dean | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 7.6% | 16.2% | 22.3% | 24.3% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.