Race 1A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Adam Ceely 9.1% 8.1% 9.8% 9.2% 8.0% 7.7% 7.6% 8.6% 7.5% 7.7% 5.4% 5.1% 2.4% 2.5% 1.3%
Brendan Cook 14.5% 15.1% 12.0% 11.8% 9.1% 9.8% 8.3% 6.1% 4.5% 3.4% 2.7% 1.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Patrick Penwell 5.9% 5.0% 7.0% 6.0% 6.4% 7.6% 9.2% 7.1% 7.1% 8.6% 9.1% 7.9% 6.8% 4.5% 1.8%
Kyle Brego 2.4% 2.3% 3.5% 3.6% 4.1% 3.9% 5.0% 6.0% 5.5% 7.5% 7.5% 10.1% 12.3% 12.1% 14.2%
Marly Isler 9.8% 10.7% 7.3% 9.2% 9.2% 9.3% 9.3% 8.9% 7.9% 5.6% 4.2% 4.1% 2.7% 1.7% 0.1%
Alexander Rudkin 3.6% 5.1% 5.3% 4.8% 4.9% 6.0% 6.2% 6.8% 8.5% 10.2% 10.7% 9.2% 7.2% 7.7% 3.8%
Casey Gowrie 13.7% 12.0% 11.7% 10.2% 12.3% 8.4% 7.4% 7.0% 5.6% 5.0% 2.6% 2.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Robert Lippincott 8.4% 8.1% 9.5% 7.0% 7.7% 8.4% 8.3% 8.0% 8.0% 8.1% 6.5% 5.4% 3.0% 2.7% 0.9%
Rinchen Harrison 2.6% 1.7% 3.8% 3.5% 3.7% 4.5% 5.8% 5.9% 7.4% 7.3% 10.6% 9.4% 11.6% 12.6% 9.6%
Peter Edmunds 10.7% 11.1% 9.8% 10.3% 10.9% 9.6% 8.9% 7.5% 6.0% 4.4% 5.3% 2.7% 1.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Scott Goodrich 9.4% 9.5% 9.0% 9.9% 8.4% 7.7% 7.2% 8.6% 7.5% 6.7% 5.2% 5.2% 3.4% 1.3% 1.0%
MacKenzie MacRae 2.5% 1.6% 1.6% 2.4% 2.6% 3.5% 4.3% 4.7% 6.4% 6.0% 6.6% 10.7% 12.3% 15.3% 19.5%
William Dykes 1.7% 2.4% 3.1% 2.6% 3.8% 4.0% 3.9% 4.2% 5.0% 5.9% 8.3% 9.2% 13.2% 15.3% 17.4%
Michael Rottier 4.0% 4.8% 4.5% 6.4% 6.8% 6.8% 5.2% 7.0% 7.6% 8.8% 9.2% 9.2% 9.1% 5.8% 4.8%
Maxime Fecteau 1.7% 2.5% 2.1% 3.1% 2.1% 2.8% 3.4% 3.6% 5.5% 4.8% 6.1% 7.8% 12.2% 16.9% 25.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.