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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.58+5.47vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut1.96+6.47vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.96+5.64vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+6.28vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.54+1.82vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.13-1.10vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.90-2.46vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.68-2.72vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.04-4.93vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire1.35-0.22vs Predicted
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12McGill University1.06-0.49vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.76-6.78vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.19-5.80vs Predicted
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15Bates College1.31-4.22vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy1.55-5.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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8.47University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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8.64Roger Williams University1.960.0%1st Place
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10.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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6.82Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.9Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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5.54Bowdoin College2.900.1%1st Place
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6.28Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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5.07Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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10.78University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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11.51McGill University1.060.0%1st Place
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6.22Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.2University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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10.78Bates College1.310.0%1st Place
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10.03Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ceely | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% |
| Michael Rottier | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.1% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.2% |
| Kyle Brego | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 14.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Brendan Cook | 14.0% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Edmunds | 12.7% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Casey Gowrie | 12.7% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| William Dykes | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 16.7% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 27.6% |
| Marly Isler | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Penwell | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| MacKenzie MacRae | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 17.0% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.