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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Maine Maritime Academy0.41+0.86vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy-0.33+0.64vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.70-0.08vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-0.75vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-1.96-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86Maine Maritime Academy0.4146.6%1st Place
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2.64Maine Maritime Academy-0.3320.9%1st Place
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2.92Bates College-0.7017.1%1st Place
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3.25University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.7712.2%1st Place
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4.33University of Connecticut-1.963.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henri Richardsson | 46.6% | 29.4% | 16.9% | 5.8% | 1.2% |
| Nathan Hyde | 20.9% | 27.4% | 25.2% | 19.2% | 7.2% |
| Colby Green | 17.1% | 20.3% | 26.6% | 25.9% | 10.1% |
| Kate Myler | 12.2% | 17.2% | 21.5% | 31.9% | 17.3% |
| Jack Sullivan | 3.2% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 17.1% | 64.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.