← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Connecticut1.96+7.55vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island2.19+5.77vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.76+2.96vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University2.68+2.27vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.90+0.66vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University2.54+0.72vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+3.17vs Predicted
-
8McGill University1.06+3.50vs Predicted
-
9Maine Maritime Academy1.55+1.03vs Predicted
-
10Boston University3.13-5.05vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont2.58-4.31vs Predicted
-
12University of New Hampshire1.35-1.09vs Predicted
-
13Bates College1.31-1.96vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University1.96-5.36vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University3.04-9.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.55University of Connecticut1.960.1%1st Place
-
7.77University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
-
5.96Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
-
6.27Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
-
5.66Bowdoin College2.900.1%1st Place
-
6.72Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
-
10.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
-
11.5McGill University1.060.0%1st Place
-
10.03Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
-
4.95Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
-
6.69University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
-
10.91University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
-
11.04Bates College1.310.0%1st Place
-
8.64Roger Williams University1.960.0%1st Place
-
5.15Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Rottier | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 4.7% |
| Patrick Penwell | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Marly Isler | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Peter Edmunds | 12.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Kyle Brego | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 12.0% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 17.2% | 25.9% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 10.9% |
| Brendan Cook | 13.9% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| William Dykes | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 16.5% | 17.3% |
| MacKenzie MacRae | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 19.4% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% |
| Casey Gowrie | 13.1% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.