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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Maine Maritime Academy0.41+0.87vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy-0.33+0.64vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.70-0.08vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-0.70vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-1.96-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Maine Maritime Academy0.4146.5%1st Place
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2.64Maine Maritime Academy-0.3322.2%1st Place
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2.92Bates College-0.7015.3%1st Place
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3.3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.7711.6%1st Place
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4.27University of Connecticut-1.964.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henri Richardsson | 46.5% | 29.5% | 15.7% | 6.9% | 1.4% |
| Nathan Hyde | 22.2% | 25.0% | 25.4% | 21.3% | 6.0% |
| Colby Green | 15.3% | 22.9% | 26.1% | 25.6% | 10.1% |
| Kate Myler | 11.6% | 15.7% | 23.5% | 29.4% | 19.8% |
| Jack Sullivan | 4.4% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 16.8% | 62.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.