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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Maine Maritime Academy-0.33+1.60vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy0.41-0.10vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.70-0.03vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-0.73vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-1.96-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Maine Maritime Academy-0.3323.5%1st Place
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1.9Maine Maritime Academy0.4144.6%1st Place
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2.97Bates College-0.7015.7%1st Place
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3.27University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.7711.8%1st Place
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4.26University of Connecticut-1.964.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Hyde | 23.5% | 24.9% | 26.1% | 18.8% | 6.7% |
| Henri Richardsson | 44.6% | 30.4% | 16.7% | 6.9% | 1.4% |
| Colby Green | 15.7% | 20.5% | 27.0% | 25.3% | 11.6% |
| Kate Myler | 11.8% | 17.2% | 21.1% | 31.7% | 18.2% |
| Jack Sullivan | 4.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 17.3% | 62.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.