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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Maine Maritime Academy0.41+0.90vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.70+0.96vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy-0.33-0.41vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-0.73vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-1.96-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9Maine Maritime Academy0.4145.0%1st Place
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2.96Bates College-0.7015.8%1st Place
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2.59Maine Maritime Academy-0.3322.1%1st Place
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3.27University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.7712.6%1st Place
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4.29University of Connecticut-1.964.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henri Richardsson | 45.0% | 29.4% | 17.4% | 7.2% | 0.9% |
| Colby Green | 15.8% | 21.9% | 24.9% | 25.7% | 11.7% |
| Nathan Hyde | 22.1% | 27.3% | 26.2% | 18.1% | 6.2% |
| Kate Myler | 12.6% | 15.1% | 23.1% | 31.6% | 17.6% |
| Jack Sullivan | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 17.4% | 63.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.