Race 6A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Robert Lippincott 9.5% 9.7% 9.8% 8.1% 8.6% 9.4% 9.3% 9.3% 7.2% 5.7% 4.9% 3.6% 2.6% 1.6% 0.7%
Peter Edmunds 12.1% 14.6% 12.7% 9.6% 11.0% 9.2% 9.2% 5.9% 5.5% 4.3% 3.4% 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Adam Ceely 9.3% 9.6% 10.7% 9.5% 8.8% 9.1% 8.4% 8.4% 8.2% 6.9% 4.9% 3.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Scott Goodrich 11.1% 9.0% 13.2% 9.3% 8.1% 8.6% 8.4% 8.4% 7.9% 5.4% 4.5% 2.4% 2.8% 0.6% 0.3%
Marly Isler 11.1% 11.6% 8.9% 9.0% 11.5% 9.8% 8.5% 8.7% 6.4% 5.3% 3.6% 2.7% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0%
MacKenzie MacRae 2.4% 3.1% 2.6% 4.0% 3.3% 3.5% 4.6% 4.7% 6.5% 8.1% 9.1% 10.9% 12.8% 13.7% 10.7%
Brendan Cook 16.3% 14.4% 13.4% 14.5% 9.8% 8.8% 5.4% 7.0% 3.5% 2.7% 2.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Patrick Penwell 6.4% 6.5% 6.2% 8.0% 7.2% 7.7% 8.8% 7.4% 8.6% 9.2% 8.0% 7.1% 4.4% 2.8% 1.7%
Alexander Rudkin 5.2% 4.3% 4.9% 6.5% 7.8% 6.9% 7.3% 7.7% 9.4% 10.2% 7.7% 8.2% 8.3% 3.9% 1.7%
Sarah Fuller 5.0% 4.2% 4.7% 5.7% 7.1% 5.9% 7.9% 7.7% 9.0% 8.7% 10.2% 8.3% 6.2% 6.8% 2.6%
Kyle Brego 2.9% 3.1% 3.5% 3.7% 4.6% 5.3% 5.4% 5.6% 8.7% 7.8% 8.6% 9.7% 11.3% 11.1% 8.7%
Grace Olsen 1.5% 0.7% 0.9% 1.4% 0.8% 1.3% 2.3% 3.2% 2.8% 3.7% 5.5% 8.3% 10.0% 17.5% 40.1%
Maxime Fecteau 1.8% 2.1% 1.8% 2.4% 3.0% 3.9% 4.0% 3.7% 5.0% 6.3% 7.5% 9.8% 13.1% 17.9% 17.7%
Rinchen Harrison 3.2% 3.5% 2.9% 5.4% 4.6% 6.0% 5.8% 6.7% 4.8% 8.7% 9.7% 12.0% 10.6% 10.2% 5.9%
William Dykes 2.2% 3.6% 3.8% 2.9% 3.8% 4.6% 4.7% 5.6% 6.5% 7.0% 9.7% 11.2% 12.4% 12.1% 9.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.