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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Maine Maritime Academy0.41+0.87vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy-0.33+0.59vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77+0.21vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.27+0.44vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.70-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Maine Maritime Academy0.4145.0%1st Place
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2.59Maine Maritime Academy-0.3321.9%1st Place
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3.21University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.7713.4%1st Place
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4.44University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.273.0%1st Place
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2.89Bates College-0.7016.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henri Richardsson | 45.0% | 30.9% | 17.6% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| Nathan Hyde | 21.9% | 26.4% | 27.6% | 19.3% | 5.0% |
| Kate Myler | 13.4% | 15.7% | 22.4% | 33.7% | 14.8% |
| Carissa Keung | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 14.1% | 70.6% |
| Colby Green | 16.7% | 22.2% | 25.1% | 27.5% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.