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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Maine Maritime Academy-0.33+1.37vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy0.41-0.32vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.10+1.07vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.27+0.22vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.70-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Maine Maritime Academy-0.3323.7%1st Place
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1.68Maine Maritime Academy0.4152.1%1st Place
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4.07University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.103.4%1st Place
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4.22University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.272.9%1st Place
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2.66Bates College-0.7017.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Hyde | 23.7% | 31.3% | 31.3% | 11.3% | 2.4% |
| Henri Richardsson | 52.1% | 31.4% | 13.1% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Ozel Yilmazel | 3.4% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 36.1% | 42.1% |
| Carissa Keung | 2.9% | 4.8% | 10.1% | 31.6% | 50.5% |
| Colby Green | 17.8% | 25.4% | 34.4% | 17.6% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.