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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Maine Maritime Academy0.41+0.73vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy-0.33+0.39vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.10+1.06vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.27+0.14vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.70-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73Maine Maritime Academy0.4150.3%1st Place
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2.39Maine Maritime Academy-0.3324.0%1st Place
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4.06University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.104.4%1st Place
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4.14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.274.0%1st Place
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2.68Bates College-0.7017.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henri Richardsson | 50.3% | 30.3% | 15.5% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Hyde | 24.0% | 31.9% | 28.3% | 12.7% | 3.1% |
| Ozel Yilmazel | 4.4% | 5.9% | 11.6% | 35.8% | 42.4% |
| Carissa Keung | 4.0% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 30.0% | 49.4% |
| Colby Green | 17.3% | 25.2% | 34.7% | 18.0% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.