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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.67+1.34vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13+1.45vs Predicted
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3American University-0.61+1.40vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.36+0.19vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.08-1.26vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-1.01-0.75vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.85-0.79vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34Virginia Tech0.6734.9%1st Place
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3.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.1317.5%1st Place
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4.4American University-0.619.9%1st Place
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4.19William and Mary-0.3611.3%1st Place
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3.74University of Maryland-0.0814.2%1st Place
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5.25Penn State University-1.016.3%1st Place
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6.21Catholic University of America-1.852.8%1st Place
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6.42University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.433.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 34.9% | 28.1% | 18.4% | 10.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Robert Finora | 17.5% | 17.3% | 19.8% | 16.9% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Brooke Lorson | 9.9% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 11.6% | 5.3% |
| Eric Johnson | 11.3% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 17.8% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 4.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 14.2% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 1.8% |
| Nathan Mascia | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 20.0% | 13.7% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 2.8% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 24.1% | 33.1% |
| John TIS | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 21.4% | 40.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.