← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Maine Maritime Academy0.41+0.83vs Predicted
-
2Maine Maritime Academy-0.33+0.59vs Predicted
-
3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77+0.25vs Predicted
-
4University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.27+0.40vs Predicted
-
5Bates College-0.70-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.83Maine Maritime Academy0.4147.3%1st Place
-
2.59Maine Maritime Academy-0.3322.0%1st Place
-
3.25University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.7711.3%1st Place
-
4.4University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.273.5%1st Place
-
2.92Bates College-0.7016.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henri Richardsson | 47.3% | 30.6% | 14.9% | 6.3% | 0.8% |
| Nathan Hyde | 22.0% | 26.9% | 26.6% | 19.0% | 5.5% |
| Kate Myler | 11.3% | 16.4% | 22.9% | 34.5% | 14.9% |
| Carissa Keung | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 14.0% | 69.3% |
| Colby Green | 16.0% | 20.8% | 27.8% | 26.1% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.