Race 2B

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Rachel Perry 8.5% 9.4% 10.0% 8.6% 8.6% 8.8% 10.5% 8.6% 8.0% 7.0% 4.9% 4.2% 1.9% 1.0%
William Feldman 2.6% 5.4% 3.9% 4.7% 7.1% 5.0% 5.7% 6.9% 8.0% 10.8% 12.0% 12.7% 9.1% 6.1%
Conor Fowler 13.9% 13.2% 11.6% 10.4% 10.8% 9.9% 8.2% 7.8% 5.9% 4.9% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.2%
Ocean Kane 2.9% 3.9% 4.5% 4.8% 5.6% 6.1% 6.5% 8.8% 8.9% 8.9% 11.5% 12.0% 9.7% 5.9%
John Cappetta 5.9% 5.1% 6.4% 9.8% 6.2% 9.7% 8.3% 7.3% 11.2% 9.2% 7.9% 7.5% 4.2% 1.3%
Camden Tougas 7.3% 7.1% 7.4% 9.0% 9.1% 8.9% 8.9% 10.0% 9.5% 7.5% 6.5% 4.9% 3.3% 0.6%
Jesse Thomas 12.7% 11.1% 11.1% 11.3% 9.9% 8.7% 9.3% 8.8% 6.3% 5.1% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
Ann Sager 3.7% 3.6% 3.3% 4.4% 4.0% 5.0% 4.6% 6.8% 7.2% 9.5% 11.5% 12.7% 13.0% 10.7%
John Bishara 2.6% 2.4% 2.6% 1.9% 2.8% 3.4% 3.8% 4.4% 7.7% 9.3% 11.6% 14.9% 16.2% 16.4%
Matthew Lyons 16.5% 17.3% 13.3% 11.5% 11.0% 8.6% 7.0% 6.5% 3.7% 2.2% 1.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Myles Gibbs 1.2% 1.1% 1.6% 1.5% 1.3% 2.1% 2.9% 3.5% 4.9% 6.7% 9.8% 10.4% 17.4% 35.6%
Benjamin Craig 8.7% 8.1% 9.9% 9.6% 10.1% 10.6% 9.5% 7.9% 8.6% 6.6% 5.1% 3.0% 1.7% 0.6%
John Silvestri 12.3% 10.9% 11.9% 10.6% 10.9% 10.0% 9.8% 7.8% 4.9% 5.7% 2.6% 1.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Caroline Atwood 1.2% 1.4% 2.5% 1.9% 2.6% 3.2% 5.0% 4.9% 5.2% 6.6% 10.5% 12.4% 21.3% 21.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.