Race 3B

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jesse Thomas 10.5% 12.5% 11.5% 11.2% 10.8% 9.9% 6.7% 8.6% 6.7% 4.6% 3.4% 1.8% 1.4% 0.4%
Conor Fowler 14.1% 12.4% 15.2% 10.9% 9.3% 10.7% 9.5% 7.0% 3.8% 2.6% 3.0% 0.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Matthew Lyons 17.5% 14.7% 14.7% 13.3% 10.6% 7.4% 8.2% 5.7% 3.9% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
John Silvestri 10.8% 11.6% 11.3% 11.7% 9.7% 10.7% 9.4% 7.4% 7.5% 3.8% 3.2% 2.0% 0.8% 0.1%
John Cappetta 4.7% 5.9% 6.9% 9.0% 7.5% 7.7% 9.1% 10.3% 9.3% 8.6% 9.1% 6.1% 4.3% 1.5%
William Feldman 3.1% 3.2% 3.1% 4.6% 4.0% 5.0% 7.4% 7.1% 9.6% 10.8% 11.4% 11.4% 11.7% 7.6%
Camden Tougas 9.4% 8.8% 7.2% 7.8% 10.4% 9.2% 8.5% 9.9% 8.2% 8.1% 6.3% 3.7% 1.9% 0.6%
Rachel Perry 8.5% 9.5% 8.2% 8.7% 8.7% 10.0% 9.8% 8.1% 8.3% 6.5% 6.3% 5.4% 1.1% 0.9%
John Bishara 3.0% 1.7% 2.6% 2.2% 3.0% 4.0% 3.8% 4.3% 7.0% 10.5% 10.4% 15.5% 17.0% 15.0%
Ocean Kane 3.6% 3.2% 3.3% 3.9% 6.5% 6.4% 6.1% 9.2% 7.6% 11.3% 12.1% 11.4% 10.0% 5.4%
Caroline Atwood 1.4% 2.0% 1.9% 1.7% 1.9% 3.0% 4.4% 4.7% 6.1% 6.4% 8.5% 13.7% 19.6% 24.7%
Myles Gibbs 0.9% 1.3% 1.5% 2.1% 2.1% 1.5% 3.1% 3.0% 4.9% 6.4% 9.3% 11.8% 17.9% 34.2%
Ann Sager 3.3% 2.8% 4.0% 3.2% 3.9% 4.8% 6.0% 5.7% 8.9% 10.4% 12.4% 13.4% 12.5% 8.7%
Benjamin Craig 9.2% 10.4% 8.6% 9.7% 11.6% 9.7% 8.0% 9.0% 8.2% 7.8% 3.6% 2.6% 0.9% 0.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.