Race 4B

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jesse Thomas 10.6% 11.7% 11.5% 10.8% 9.8% 10.0% 8.8% 8.1% 6.6% 4.2% 3.6% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
Rachel Perry 9.1% 9.7% 8.9% 8.4% 9.6% 8.9% 11.0% 8.5% 8.7% 7.1% 5.0% 2.8% 1.6% 0.7%
Benjamin Craig 9.7% 9.2% 8.9% 9.0% 10.2% 9.3% 10.6% 8.6% 7.0% 7.3% 6.2% 2.9% 0.8% 0.3%
Camden Tougas 6.7% 6.8% 10.0% 9.1% 9.0% 8.3% 9.9% 7.4% 8.2% 9.7% 7.5% 4.4% 2.3% 0.7%
Matthew Lyons 14.6% 16.1% 15.2% 12.1% 10.6% 10.2% 5.8% 6.4% 4.3% 2.4% 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0%
John Silvestri 11.5% 11.3% 11.3% 12.4% 9.5% 9.6% 9.5% 6.6% 6.6% 5.1% 3.7% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Conor Fowler 15.0% 13.8% 11.5% 11.0% 12.6% 9.6% 8.3% 6.4% 5.2% 3.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
John Bishara 2.8% 2.7% 3.0% 3.0% 2.8% 4.8% 2.9% 5.9% 6.5% 8.7% 10.5% 13.4% 16.0% 17.0%
Ocean Kane 4.5% 2.9% 3.5% 4.1% 5.7% 5.4% 5.1% 9.5% 10.0% 10.0% 13.4% 11.4% 9.9% 4.6%
William Feldman 3.3% 2.9% 3.1% 5.1% 5.1% 4.8% 6.8% 7.0% 8.9% 9.3% 12.0% 13.7% 11.6% 6.4%
Caroline Atwood 1.4% 2.1% 1.2% 2.0% 2.2% 2.8% 2.9% 4.7% 6.3% 7.3% 8.7% 14.9% 18.0% 25.5%
Ann Sager 2.8% 2.8% 3.2% 3.9% 3.7% 5.0% 6.5% 6.3% 7.9% 9.9% 12.9% 11.4% 14.8% 8.9%
John Cappetta 6.8% 6.8% 6.8% 7.0% 7.2% 9.0% 9.7% 10.3% 8.8% 8.6% 6.7% 7.1% 2.9% 2.3%
Myles Gibbs 1.2% 1.2% 1.9% 2.1% 2.0% 2.3% 2.2% 4.3% 5.0% 7.1% 7.2% 10.7% 19.7% 33.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.