Race 5B

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Matthew Lyons 13.7% 14.9% 12.8% 13.1% 9.1% 9.3% 6.6% 6.4% 4.2% 4.1% 3.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Michael Saldi 17.9% 15.8% 13.6% 11.0% 10.9% 9.2% 7.9% 4.5% 4.0% 2.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Benjamin Craig 7.5% 8.6% 8.0% 7.8% 8.5% 7.7% 8.7% 8.8% 8.0% 9.7% 6.7% 5.9% 3.3% 0.8%
Jesse Thomas 7.6% 9.8% 10.5% 8.4% 9.4% 8.9% 10.9% 7.1% 7.2% 8.2% 5.7% 3.7% 2.4% 0.2%
Sean McLaughlin 4.5% 7.0% 5.9% 8.3% 7.2% 7.4% 7.3% 9.8% 8.7% 7.7% 9.4% 9.1% 6.2% 1.5%
Camden Tougas 6.4% 5.5% 6.3% 6.8% 8.0% 8.9% 7.9% 9.7% 9.0% 8.1% 7.7% 7.9% 6.2% 1.6%
Kate Shaner 10.7% 8.5% 8.7% 11.3% 10.0% 8.0% 8.0% 7.9% 8.9% 6.5% 5.2% 3.8% 2.2% 0.3%
William Feldman 3.3% 2.9% 4.5% 3.3% 4.4% 3.9% 5.1% 5.8% 6.4% 7.9% 10.6% 13.2% 19.1% 9.6%
John Cappetta 5.4% 4.7% 5.3% 5.6% 6.4% 6.9% 7.4% 10.2% 9.5% 10.5% 8.8% 9.8% 6.2% 3.3%
John Silvestri 10.1% 8.5% 10.2% 9.7% 10.3% 9.7% 9.3% 8.5% 7.5% 6.7% 5.4% 2.4% 1.3% 0.4%
Ann Sager 2.4% 2.4% 1.8% 3.1% 3.0% 4.7% 4.9% 5.1% 7.1% 6.6% 10.0% 16.3% 21.5% 11.1%
Ocean Kane 2.6% 2.9% 3.6% 3.4% 4.1% 5.9% 5.2% 6.0% 7.7% 10.5% 12.7% 12.2% 14.1% 9.1%
Meredith Kresic 1.2% 0.6% 0.6% 1.2% 0.9% 1.0% 1.8% 0.9% 2.0% 3.2% 5.0% 6.4% 14.3% 60.9%
Rachel Perry 6.7% 7.9% 8.2% 7.0% 7.8% 8.5% 9.0% 9.3% 9.8% 8.2% 7.3% 6.7% 2.6% 1.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.