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📊 Prediction Accuracy
14.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.45+4.81vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97+5.03vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.19+6.62vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.00+3.27vs Predicted
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5Bates College1.80+2.92vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.80-1.08vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.94-2.72vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.36-1.92vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.19-2.24vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.09-2.94vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.33-4.76vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.04-2.91vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy1.29-4.70vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.21-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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7.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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9.62Yale University1.190.0%1st Place
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7.27University of Rhode Island2.000.1%1st Place
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7.92Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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4.92Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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4.28Boston University2.940.2%1st Place
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6.08Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.76University of Vermont2.190.1%1st Place
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7.06Roger Williams University2.090.1%1st Place
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6.24Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
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10.09University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
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9.3Maine Maritime Academy1.290.0%1st Place
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12.61University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Silvestri | 9.0% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| William Feldman | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 9.2% |
| Camden Tougas | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| John Cappetta | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
| Matthew Lyons | 13.6% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 17.7% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Thomas | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Benjamin Craig | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Rachel Perry | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Kate Shaner | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Ann Sager | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 20.6% | 12.1% |
| Ocean Kane | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 7.8% |
| Meredith Kresic | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 14.7% | 60.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.