Race 8B

great-herring-pond-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
John Cappetta 5.4% 4.6% 6.8% 6.8% 7.6% 7.6% 8.2% 6.6% 9.4% 10.1% 8.6% 8.6% 7.4% 2.3%
Michael Saldi 18.4% 15.7% 13.9% 10.4% 10.9% 10.1% 6.3% 6.5% 2.3% 2.3% 1.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Sean McLaughlin 5.6% 7.5% 7.4% 7.0% 6.1% 5.9% 8.7% 8.2% 10.0% 9.0% 9.9% 8.7% 4.2% 1.8%
Jesse Thomas 7.4% 10.0% 10.1% 8.7% 9.7% 8.6% 8.8% 9.8% 7.8% 6.9% 5.7% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3%
Matthew Lyons 12.6% 13.8% 13.1% 13.1% 8.5% 8.7% 8.6% 6.8% 5.2% 4.8% 2.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Ocean Kane 3.2% 3.1% 3.3% 3.1% 4.2% 4.7% 4.5% 6.9% 7.7% 9.1% 10.4% 14.0% 17.8% 8.0%
Benjamin Craig 8.9% 9.2% 7.5% 8.4% 9.5% 8.3% 9.0% 6.5% 9.5% 7.5% 7.1% 5.0% 3.3% 0.3%
William Feldman 3.5% 3.4% 2.9% 3.7% 4.6% 5.0% 3.8% 6.5% 5.7% 8.6% 10.6% 14.8% 17.2% 9.7%
Kate Shaner 9.0% 7.5% 8.7% 8.1% 10.7% 8.7% 8.9% 9.1% 9.8% 7.2% 6.1% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7%
Rachel Perry 6.5% 6.0% 7.2% 9.1% 8.7% 7.5% 6.8% 8.9% 9.3% 9.4% 10.1% 6.3% 2.9% 1.3%
John Silvestri 10.6% 9.8% 9.2% 8.9% 8.8% 10.0% 9.9% 8.6% 6.0% 7.0% 4.8% 3.5% 2.7% 0.2%
Camden Tougas 5.3% 6.4% 6.8% 8.8% 7.0% 8.1% 8.3% 9.0% 10.4% 7.5% 8.1% 6.8% 5.7% 1.8%
Meredith Kresic 1.2% 0.4% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 1.5% 2.2% 1.4% 1.4% 3.0% 3.7% 6.7% 12.9% 63.1%
Ann Sager 2.4% 2.6% 2.2% 3.1% 2.9% 5.3% 6.0% 5.2% 5.5% 7.6% 11.0% 14.4% 21.5% 10.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.