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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-0.08+2.77vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13+1.44vs Predicted
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3American University-0.61+1.37vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.67-1.67vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.36-0.76vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-1.01-0.69vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.85-0.93vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77University of Maryland-0.0814.9%1st Place
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3.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.1316.9%1st Place
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4.37American University-0.6110.7%1st Place
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2.33Virginia Tech0.6735.4%1st Place
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4.24William and Mary-0.3610.5%1st Place
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5.31Penn State University-1.015.5%1st Place
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6.07Catholic University of America-1.853.5%1st Place
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6.47University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.432.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Cohen | 14.9% | 14.8% | 17.9% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
| Robert Finora | 16.9% | 19.2% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Brooke Lorson | 10.7% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 11.7% | 4.6% |
| James Lilyquist | 35.4% | 27.4% | 17.4% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 10.5% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 4.2% |
| Nathan Mascia | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 18.8% | 20.2% | 14.8% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 24.4% | 30.7% |
| John TIS | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 21.5% | 42.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.