Race 1A

2022-womens-pccs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Stephanie Houck 31.4% 23.5% 15.3% 13.3% 7.9% 5.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Erin Pamplin 7.4% 8.5% 12.4% 10.5% 13.3% 12.9% 15.4% 13.2% 5.3% 1.0%
Marianna Shand 19.1% 17.1% 15.2% 14.6% 13.6% 9.6% 7.1% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Mercy Tangredi 11.3% 12.9% 12.1% 14.4% 13.7% 13.2% 11.3% 7.8% 2.9% 0.5%
Althea White 1.0% 0.9% 1.5% 2.4% 2.9% 3.4% 4.8% 7.8% 26.9% 48.6%
Macy Rowe 1.2% 1.8% 1.8% 2.2% 2.7% 3.1% 5.7% 11.0% 30.2% 40.2%
Kira Blumhagen 5.7% 7.0% 7.9% 8.8% 10.1% 13.5% 14.6% 17.5% 10.8% 4.0%
Kingsley Ehrich 6.2% 8.2% 10.2% 10.9% 12.6% 14.2% 14.1% 14.1% 7.7% 1.6%
Molly Coghlin 11.7% 13.2% 15.4% 14.3% 12.6% 13.7% 9.8% 6.7% 2.0% 0.5%
Svenja Leonard 4.9% 6.8% 8.2% 8.4% 10.8% 10.6% 15.1% 18.3% 13.4% 3.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.