Race 2A

2022-womens-pccs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Marianna Shand 17.5% 18.6% 15.8% 14.6% 13.1% 9.8% 6.5% 3.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Stephanie Houck 30.1% 23.4% 16.6% 12.3% 8.6% 4.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Molly Coghlin 12.0% 13.1% 14.4% 13.8% 14.0% 12.8% 9.3% 7.5% 2.9% 0.3%
Kingsley Ehrich 7.4% 8.5% 9.2% 11.0% 12.0% 14.0% 15.7% 13.6% 7.1% 1.5%
Mercy Tangredi 10.7% 12.4% 14.8% 13.6% 13.7% 12.5% 11.2% 7.3% 3.4% 0.4%
Erin Pamplin 8.1% 8.4% 11.8% 11.2% 12.7% 13.8% 13.5% 12.3% 7.0% 1.2%
Kira Blumhagen 6.2% 6.9% 7.2% 10.7% 11.1% 13.0% 12.8% 16.7% 12.2% 3.1%
Althea White 1.5% 1.0% 1.4% 2.4% 2.2% 3.5% 4.7% 9.2% 25.3% 48.9%
Macy Rowe 1.4% 2.0% 2.1% 2.1% 3.9% 3.8% 6.2% 9.9% 28.2% 40.5%
Svenja Leonard 5.1% 5.9% 6.9% 8.2% 8.8% 12.2% 16.9% 19.2% 13.1% 3.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.