Race 3A

2022-womens-pccs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Kingsley Ehrich 7.0% 8.2% 9.2% 10.8% 12.2% 13.9% 15.4% 14.8% 6.7% 1.6%
Mercy Tangredi 12.0% 12.4% 13.4% 15.2% 13.5% 11.9% 10.1% 8.3% 2.6% 0.7%
Marianna Shand 17.5% 17.0% 16.2% 14.9% 12.8% 10.1% 7.0% 3.2% 1.1% 0.2%
Stephanie Houck 30.6% 21.2% 17.2% 14.1% 8.6% 4.2% 3.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Erin Pamplin 7.5% 10.4% 10.8% 10.5% 12.4% 14.2% 14.0% 13.1% 5.6% 1.4%
Molly Coghlin 12.2% 14.6% 14.1% 13.7% 13.1% 12.3% 10.2% 6.5% 3.0% 0.4%
Svenja Leonard 5.7% 6.7% 8.6% 8.3% 11.0% 12.3% 15.0% 16.8% 12.2% 3.5%
Kira Blumhagen 5.3% 6.6% 7.0% 8.7% 11.3% 12.8% 14.4% 18.3% 12.5% 3.0%
Althea White 1.1% 1.6% 1.5% 1.6% 2.1% 3.7% 4.5% 7.7% 25.1% 51.2%
Macy Rowe 0.9% 1.3% 2.2% 2.2% 3.1% 4.5% 6.3% 10.3% 31.1% 38.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.