Race 4A

2022-womens-pccs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Stephanie Houck 30.7% 22.1% 17.2% 12.1% 9.2% 5.1% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Erin Pamplin 7.0% 10.1% 11.9% 11.1% 12.6% 12.4% 14.5% 12.6% 6.4% 1.4%
Kira Blumhagen 5.5% 7.5% 8.1% 9.2% 10.2% 13.1% 14.3% 17.9% 11.2% 2.9%
Kingsley Ehrich 7.1% 8.1% 8.8% 11.6% 13.9% 12.6% 15.8% 13.2% 6.7% 2.2%
Marianna Shand 17.6% 18.9% 15.6% 13.7% 12.4% 10.0% 6.1% 4.1% 1.6% 0.0%
Mercy Tangredi 12.9% 10.4% 12.9% 13.6% 14.1% 13.9% 10.8% 8.0% 2.9% 0.5%
Svenja Leonard 4.8% 5.6% 7.4% 8.8% 9.3% 13.2% 15.6% 19.1% 13.1% 3.1%
Molly Coghlin 11.9% 14.1% 14.7% 14.8% 14.0% 12.2% 9.7% 5.7% 2.5% 0.4%
Althea White 1.0% 1.1% 1.8% 2.5% 2.2% 3.4% 4.8% 8.1% 24.4% 50.6%
Macy Rowe 1.4% 2.1% 1.5% 2.7% 2.1% 4.2% 5.8% 10.6% 31.0% 38.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.