Race 5A

2022-womens-pccs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mercy Tangredi 11.1% 13.2% 13.1% 12.8% 14.0% 13.2% 11.2% 7.9% 3.0% 0.6%
Svenja Leonard 5.0% 7.0% 8.1% 7.6% 9.8% 11.4% 15.3% 18.6% 13.4% 3.9%
Molly Coghlin 11.8% 12.0% 14.1% 15.6% 14.6% 11.5% 10.2% 6.9% 2.6% 0.5%
Marianna Shand 17.2% 16.2% 16.0% 15.6% 12.7% 10.7% 7.0% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Erin Pamplin 8.5% 9.2% 10.4% 11.8% 12.9% 14.1% 13.2% 12.2% 6.1% 1.5%
Stephanie Houck 30.8% 22.9% 16.6% 11.9% 8.7% 5.2% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Kingsley Ehrich 7.8% 9.3% 10.5% 10.3% 12.7% 13.5% 13.5% 13.4% 7.3% 1.7%
Kira Blumhagen 5.8% 7.2% 7.8% 9.8% 9.4% 12.7% 16.3% 17.4% 10.2% 3.3%
Althea White 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 2.2% 2.5% 3.3% 4.4% 9.4% 25.3% 49.3%
Macy Rowe 1.2% 1.4% 2.2% 2.3% 2.8% 4.5% 5.9% 9.7% 31.0% 39.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.