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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.73+4.38vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.99+2.44vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.74+2.20vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.23+1.88vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.08-2.18vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.88-1.67vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.30-3.41vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.22-1.98vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-0.45vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-1.40-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38University of California at Berkeley0.737.6%1st Place
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4.44University of Hawaii0.9912.4%1st Place
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5.2University of Washington0.747.8%1st Place
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5.88Western Washington University0.236.5%1st Place
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2.82Stanford University2.0828.6%1st Place
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4.33University of Rhode Island0.8813.0%1st Place
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3.59University of California at Los Angeles1.3017.3%1st Place
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6.02University of California at San Diego0.224.9%1st Place
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8.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.951.0%1st Place
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8.79University of California at Santa Cruz-1.400.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingsley Ehrich | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 7.2% | 1.9% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 12.4% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Erin Pamplin | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 12.0% | 2.3% |
| Stephanie Houck | 28.6% | 22.9% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 13.0% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Marianna Shand | 17.3% | 19.1% | 17.9% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Svenja Leonard | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 17.4% | 12.4% | 3.6% |
| Macy Rowe | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 11.6% | 30.3% | 39.3% |
| Althea White | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 25.9% | 50.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.