Race 7A

2022-womens-pccs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Stephanie Houck 27.6% 23.4% 18.2% 13.7% 8.8% 4.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Kingsley Ehrich 7.3% 8.4% 10.7% 9.2% 11.8% 13.9% 17.4% 13.4% 6.6% 1.4%
Marianna Shand 18.4% 17.8% 16.8% 14.0% 12.5% 10.0% 6.2% 3.4% 1.0% 0.1%
Erin Pamplin 9.2% 10.7% 10.8% 11.2% 13.8% 13.2% 12.4% 12.0% 5.6% 1.1%
Mercy Tangredi 11.7% 12.5% 12.4% 14.6% 12.4% 13.2% 11.2% 8.3% 3.2% 0.5%
Molly Coghlin 12.2% 12.6% 13.5% 14.5% 13.9% 13.2% 9.8% 7.0% 2.9% 0.4%
Svenja Leonard 6.2% 5.2% 7.0% 8.6% 10.8% 12.5% 15.0% 19.2% 12.2% 3.2%
Kira Blumhagen 5.4% 6.8% 7.8% 9.8% 11.0% 12.7% 14.9% 16.4% 11.1% 4.0%
Macy Rowe 1.2% 1.4% 1.2% 2.1% 3.2% 4.0% 5.1% 10.4% 30.6% 40.6%
Althea White 0.9% 1.4% 1.6% 2.2% 1.8% 2.5% 5.5% 8.9% 26.6% 48.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.