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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13+2.17vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.67+0.19vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.08+0.49vs Predicted
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4American University-0.66+0.10vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-1.85+0.72vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43+0.09vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-1.01-2.16vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-1.96-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.1318.9%1st Place
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2.19Virginia Tech0.6740.6%1st Place
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3.49University of Maryland-0.0814.8%1st Place
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4.1American University-0.6610.5%1st Place
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5.72Catholic University of America-1.854.2%1st Place
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6.09University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.432.4%1st Place
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4.84Penn State University-1.016.6%1st Place
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6.39William and Mary-1.962.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Finora | 18.9% | 20.8% | 20.2% | 17.5% | 13.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| James Lilyquist | 40.6% | 24.4% | 18.9% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 14.8% | 19.6% | 19.1% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| James Cottage | 10.5% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 18.2% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 9.0% | 2.9% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 17.8% | 23.8% | 20.8% |
| John TIS | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 17.0% | 23.4% | 28.9% |
| Nathan Mascia | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 18.3% | 18.8% | 15.6% | 7.4% |
| Lynn Egan | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 21.0% | 38.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.