← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.08+1.88vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island0.88+2.28vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii0.99+1.46vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles1.30-0.28vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.45vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington0.74-0.87vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego0.22-0.91vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+0.43vs Predicted
-
9Western Washington University0.23-3.19vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Cruz-1.40-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.88Stanford University2.0828.7%1st Place
-
4.28University of Rhode Island0.8812.0%1st Place
-
4.46University of Hawaii0.9912.0%1st Place
-
3.72University of California at Los Angeles1.3017.0%1st Place
-
5.45University of California at Berkeley0.737.4%1st Place
-
5.13University of Washington0.748.7%1st Place
-
6.09University of California at San Diego0.225.5%1st Place
-
8.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.951.7%1st Place
-
5.81Western Washington University0.235.8%1st Place
-
8.75University of California at Santa Cruz-1.401.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stephanie Houck | 28.7% | 21.8% | 18.1% | 13.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Molly Coghlin | 12.0% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
Mercy Tangredi | 12.0% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
Marianna Shand | 17.0% | 17.1% | 17.5% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Kingsley Ehrich | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 7.2% | 1.8% |
Erin Pamplin | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 6.3% | 1.1% |
Svenja Leonard | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 19.7% | 12.4% | 3.9% |
Macy Rowe | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 31.4% | 38.7% |
Kira Blumhagen | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 18.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% |
Althea White | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 9.3% | 24.1% | 50.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.