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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.08+1.80vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.99+2.42vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.88+1.37vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.30-0.27vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.74+0.13vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.73-0.48vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+1.54vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.22-2.09vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.23-3.15vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-1.40-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Stanford University2.0830.5%1st Place
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4.42University of Hawaii0.9912.8%1st Place
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4.37University of Rhode Island0.8811.2%1st Place
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3.73University of California at Los Angeles1.3016.4%1st Place
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5.13University of Washington0.749.1%1st Place
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5.52University of California at Berkeley0.737.0%1st Place
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8.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.951.0%1st Place
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5.91University of California at San Diego0.225.6%1st Place
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5.85Western Washington University0.235.3%1st Place
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8.74University of California at Santa Cruz-1.401.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 30.5% | 22.2% | 17.4% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 12.8% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Molly Coghlin | 11.2% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Marianna Shand | 16.4% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Erin Pamplin | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 1.2% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 8.1% | 2.4% |
| Macy Rowe | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 30.1% | 40.8% |
| Svenja Leonard | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 11.5% | 3.1% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 10.8% | 2.8% |
| Althea White | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 26.7% | 48.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.