← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.08+1.89vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.68vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii0.99+1.55vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley0.73+1.38vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington0.74+0.10vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego0.220.00vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+1.47vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University0.23-2.09vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz-1.40-0.19vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island0.88-5.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.89Stanford University2.0827.9%1st Place
-
3.68University of California at Los Angeles1.3017.0%1st Place
-
4.55University of Hawaii0.9911.8%1st Place
-
5.38University of California at Berkeley0.737.8%1st Place
-
5.1University of Washington0.748.4%1st Place
-
6.0University of California at San Diego0.225.8%1st Place
-
8.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.951.3%1st Place
-
5.91Western Washington University0.236.7%1st Place
-
8.81University of California at Santa Cruz-1.400.8%1st Place
-
4.21University of Rhode Island0.8812.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 27.9% | 21.9% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 17.0% | 17.6% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 7.2% | 2.2% |
| Erin Pamplin | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Svenja Leonard | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 18.4% | 13.1% | 3.4% |
| Macy Rowe | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 10.2% | 31.2% | 38.5% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 17.9% | 10.8% | 3.8% |
| Althea White | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 26.2% | 50.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 12.7% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.