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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+0.83vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.05+1.96vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-1.39+2.69vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.24+1.75vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.74-0.32vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-0.34vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.03-0.99vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara0.57-3.34vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.42-1.94vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-2.97-0.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.83Stanford University2.6450.0%1st Place
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3.96University of Hawaii1.0512.2%1st Place
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5.69University of Washington-1.395.5%1st Place
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5.75University of California at Los Angeles0.244.5%1st Place
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4.68University of California at Berkeley0.747.9%1st Place
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5.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.264.9%1st Place
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6.01Western Washington University0.034.5%1st Place
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4.66University of California at Santa Barbara0.577.6%1st Place
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7.06University of California at San Diego-0.422.6%1st Place
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9.7University of California at Santa Cruz-2.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 50.0% | 29.6% | 12.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 12.2% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 1.1% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 4.5% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 1.2% |
| Katherine Olsen | 7.9% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Florence Duff | 4.9% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 1.5% |
| Caroline Hurley | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 17.6% | 15.2% | 1.4% |
| harriet jessup | 7.6% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Amanda Brooks | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 16.2% | 33.8% | 5.0% |
| Kathryn Lewis | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 5.1% | 88.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.