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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College1.53+0.90vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.05+1.18vs Predicted
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3Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.60-1.14vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut0.19-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9Middlebury College1.530.4%1st Place
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3.18McGill University0.050.1%1st Place
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1.86Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.600.4%1st Place
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3.06University of Connecticut0.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Willerford | 40.8% | 35.2% | 17.6% | 6.4% |
| Holly McGarr | 8.3% | 13.0% | 30.7% | 48.0% |
| Norbert Mongeon | 40.8% | 37.7% | 16.1% | 5.4% |
| George Williams | 10.1% | 14.1% | 35.6% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.