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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.60+0.81vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College1.53-0.08vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.05+0.21vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut0.19-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.81Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.600.4%1st Place
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1.92Middlebury College1.530.4%1st Place
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3.21McGill University0.050.1%1st Place
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3.06University of Connecticut0.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norbert Mongeon | 43.6% | 35.6% | 16.5% | 4.3% |
| Sean Willerford | 37.9% | 38.1% | 18.2% | 5.8% |
| Holly McGarr | 9.1% | 11.6% | 28.9% | 50.4% |
| George Williams | 9.4% | 14.7% | 36.4% | 39.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.