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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+0.86vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.05+2.00vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.03+3.03vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-1.39+1.64vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+0.53vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.42+1.11vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.24-1.21vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.74-3.30vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara0.57-4.33vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-2.97-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86Stanford University2.6450.9%1st Place
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4.0University of Hawaii1.0512.0%1st Place
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6.03Western Washington University0.034.8%1st Place
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5.64University of Washington-1.395.1%1st Place
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5.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.265.3%1st Place
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7.11University of California at San Diego-0.421.9%1st Place
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5.79University of California at Los Angeles0.244.6%1st Place
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4.7University of California at Berkeley0.747.0%1st Place
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4.67University of California at Santa Barbara0.577.9%1st Place
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9.66University of California at Santa Cruz-2.970.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 50.9% | 25.8% | 14.1% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 12.0% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Hurley | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 17.6% | 16.2% | 2.1% |
| Emily Smith | 5.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 1.2% |
| Florence Duff | 5.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 1.0% |
| Amanda Brooks | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 16.7% | 33.8% | 5.7% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 1.4% |
| Katherine Olsen | 7.0% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 0.1% |
| harriet jessup | 7.9% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 0.1% |
| Kathryn Lewis | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 88.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.