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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.19+6.12vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.36+4.42vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+4.95vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.89+9.03vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.70+4.25vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.77+7.72vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin3.04+5.75vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan2.97+4.48vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.15+2.79vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.65-0.44vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.69-1.54vs Predicted
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12Tufts University4.08-4.20vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia3.01-0.12vs Predicted
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14Fordham University4.26-7.15vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-4.36vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-5.69vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.79-8.30vs Predicted
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18Washington College2.84-4.65vs Predicted
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193.24-7.69vs Predicted
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20University of Vermont2.55-5.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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6.42Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.95St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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13.03Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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9.25Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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13.72Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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12.75University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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12.48University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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11.79University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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9.56College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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9.46Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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7.8Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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12.88University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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6.85Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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10.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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10.31St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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8.7Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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13.35Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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11.313.240.0%1st Place
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14.63University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Nevin Snow | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Tony Collins | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 11.1% |
| Brady Stagg | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Duncan Howes | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 13.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% |
| Alex Ramos | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 4.3% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Judge Ryan | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| William Haeger | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Stessing | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% |
| Olin Paine | 9.1% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| David Alfonso | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% |
| Markus Edegran | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Bailey | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.5% |
| Eddie Cox | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.