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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+0.86vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.05+2.05vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.74+1.56vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.03+2.04vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.57-0.37vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-0.27vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.24-1.30vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-1.39-2.35vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.42-1.88vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-2.97-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86Stanford University2.6448.5%1st Place
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4.05University of Hawaii1.0510.5%1st Place
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4.56University of California at Berkeley0.748.6%1st Place
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6.04Western Washington University0.035.0%1st Place
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4.63University of California at Santa Barbara0.579.4%1st Place
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5.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.264.6%1st Place
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5.7University of California at Los Angeles0.245.2%1st Place
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5.65University of Washington-1.395.5%1st Place
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7.12University of California at San Diego-0.422.5%1st Place
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9.65University of California at Santa Cruz-2.970.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 48.5% | 29.3% | 13.8% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 10.5% | 16.1% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Olsen | 8.6% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Hurley | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 17.1% | 1.4% |
| harriet jessup | 9.4% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 0.2% |
| Florence Duff | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 1.5% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 11.9% | 1.5% |
| Emily Smith | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 1.6% |
| Amanda Brooks | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 33.8% | 6.4% |
| Kathryn Lewis | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 87.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.