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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+0.85vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.74+2.43vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.05+1.03vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.24+1.58vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.57-0.42vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-1.39-0.40vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-1.40vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.53-0.91vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.42-1.84vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-1.91-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85Stanford University2.6450.1%1st Place
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4.43University of California at Berkeley0.749.0%1st Place
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4.03University of Hawaii1.0511.6%1st Place
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5.58University of California at Los Angeles0.245.5%1st Place
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4.58University of California at Santa Barbara0.577.9%1st Place
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5.6University of Washington-1.394.7%1st Place
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5.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.265.1%1st Place
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7.09Western Washington University-0.532.7%1st Place
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7.16University of California at San Diego-0.422.8%1st Place
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9.08University of California at Santa Cruz-1.910.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 50.1% | 28.1% | 13.4% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 9.0% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 11.6% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 5.5% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 8.9% | 2.5% |
| harriet jessup | 7.9% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Emily Smith | 4.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 2.9% |
| Florence Duff | 5.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 2.9% |
| Claire Jablonski | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 26.1% | 11.3% |
| Amanda Brooks | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 17.3% | 26.6% | 12.4% |
| Lola Rao | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 13.2% | 66.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.