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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles0.24+4.73vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.64-0.13vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-1.39+2.69vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.05-0.15vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.57-0.43vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.53+1.02vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.74-2.54vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-2.38vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.42-1.92vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-1.91-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.73University of California at Los Angeles0.245.1%1st Place
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1.87Stanford University2.6451.4%1st Place
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5.69University of Washington-1.394.5%1st Place
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3.85University of Hawaii1.0511.8%1st Place
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4.57University of California at Santa Barbara0.578.1%1st Place
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7.02Western Washington University-0.532.9%1st Place
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4.46University of California at Berkeley0.748.3%1st Place
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5.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.265.1%1st Place
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7.08University of California at San Diego-0.422.4%1st Place
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9.11University of California at Santa Cruz-1.910.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Jane Howland | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 10.1% | 2.5% |
| Hannah Freeman | 51.4% | 24.6% | 14.1% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 4.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 2.5% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 11.8% | 17.9% | 18.5% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| harriet jessup | 8.1% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Claire Jablonski | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 17.1% | 24.6% | 11.2% |
| Katherine Olsen | 8.3% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Florence Duff | 5.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 2.6% |
| Amanda Brooks | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 18.2% | 24.0% | 11.8% |
| Lola Rao | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 12.8% | 67.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.