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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+6.56vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+8.64vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin3.04+9.46vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.65+5.60vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan2.97+7.64vs Predicted
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6Fordham University4.26+0.94vs Predicted
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7Stanford University4.19+0.48vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.84+5.04vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University4.36-2.69vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.70-0.64vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-0.66vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.69-2.35vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.15-0.74vs Predicted
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143.24-2.61vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.89-1.98vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-8.23vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.79-8.26vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.77-4.37vs Predicted
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19University of Virginia3.01-6.50vs Predicted
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20University of Vermont2.55-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.56Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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12.46University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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9.6College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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12.64University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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6.94Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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7.48Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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13.04Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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6.31Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.36Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.34St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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9.65Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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12.26University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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11.393.240.0%1st Place
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13.02Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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7.77St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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8.74Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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13.63Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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12.5University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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14.66University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| David Alfonso | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Alex Ramos | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% |
| Olin Paine | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Kieran Chung | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brady Stagg | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Markus Edegran | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% |
| Eddie Cox | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% |
| Tony Collins | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 10.1% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 13.5% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.