← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii1.05+3.07vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.64-0.17vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles0.24+2.81vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego-0.42+3.30vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley0.74-0.37vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-0.24vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Barbara0.57-2.30vs Predicted
-
8University of Washington-1.39-2.32vs Predicted
-
9Western Washington University0.03-2.88vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Cruz-1.91-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.07University of Hawaii1.0511.3%1st Place
-
1.83Stanford University2.6450.2%1st Place
-
5.81University of California at Los Angeles0.244.6%1st Place
-
7.3University of California at San Diego-0.421.8%1st Place
-
4.63University of California at Berkeley0.748.8%1st Place
-
5.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.264.8%1st Place
-
4.7University of California at Santa Barbara0.578.9%1st Place
-
5.68University of Washington-1.395.2%1st Place
-
6.12Western Washington University0.033.9%1st Place
-
9.11University of California at Santa Cruz-1.910.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 11.3% | 15.0% | 17.2% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Freeman | 50.2% | 28.8% | 13.0% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 4.6% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 10.9% | 3.2% |
| Amanda Brooks | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 28.9% | 13.5% |
| Katherine Olsen | 8.8% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Florence Duff | 4.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 3.5% |
| harriet jessup | 8.9% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Emily Smith | 5.2% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% |
| Caroline Hurley | 3.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 4.6% |
| Lola Rao | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 11.3% | 70.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.