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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University4.26+5.89vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.08+5.59vs Predicted
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3Stanford University4.19+4.33vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.65+5.49vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+2.79vs Predicted
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63.24+5.59vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+3.95vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.69+1.20vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.15+2.70vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.70-0.64vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin3.04+1.46vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan2.97+0.90vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia3.01-0.13vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University4.36-7.59vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.77-1.51vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.79-7.08vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.84-3.91vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-7.60vs Predicted
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19Eckerd College2.89-6.04vs Predicted
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20University of Vermont2.55-5.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.89Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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7.59Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.33Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.49College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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7.79St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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11.593.240.0%1st Place
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10.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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9.2Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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11.7University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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9.36Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
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12.46University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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12.9University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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12.87University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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6.41Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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13.49Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.92Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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13.09Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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10.4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
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12.96Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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14.61University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olin Paine | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| William Haeger | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kieran Chung | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Eddie Cox | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% |
| David Alfonso | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Judge Ryan | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| Brady Stagg | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% |
| Alex Ramos | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% |
| Christopher Stessing | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.7% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.2% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 13.4% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 11.1% |
| Markus Edegran | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Tony Collins | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.