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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.67+1.18vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13+1.17vs Predicted
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3American University-0.66+1.11vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-1.01+0.95vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.08-1.55vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.85-0.24vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43-0.96vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-1.96-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18Virginia Tech0.6739.1%1st Place
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3.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.1319.2%1st Place
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4.11American University-0.6610.7%1st Place
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4.95Penn State University-1.015.5%1st Place
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3.45University of Maryland-0.0816.1%1st Place
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5.76Catholic University of America-1.854.0%1st Place
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6.04University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.433.1%1st Place
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6.34William and Mary-1.962.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 39.1% | 26.7% | 18.5% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Finora | 19.2% | 20.9% | 20.2% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| James Cottage | 10.7% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 18.3% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 8.6% | 3.5% |
| Nathan Mascia | 5.5% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 17.4% | 19.1% | 14.2% | 10.1% |
| Jared Cohen | 16.1% | 18.6% | 18.1% | 19.0% | 14.4% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 19.4% | 22.8% | 20.6% |
| John TIS | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 23.6% | 28.8% |
| Lynn Egan | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 23.1% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.