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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University4.26+5.89vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.79+6.93vs Predicted
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3Stanford University4.19+4.30vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.36+2.47vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+5.20vs Predicted
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6Tufts University4.08+1.69vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.15+5.25vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.65+1.39vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.77+4.43vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-2.16vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.70-1.61vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan2.97+0.93vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.04-0.23vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.69-4.68vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.84-1.86vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-5.41vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.89-4.14vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia3.01-5.32vs Predicted
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193.24-7.65vs Predicted
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20University of Vermont2.55-5.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.89Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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8.93Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.3Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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6.47Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
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7.69Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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12.25University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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9.39College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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13.43Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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7.84St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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9.39Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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12.93University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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12.77University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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9.32Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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13.14Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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10.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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12.86Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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12.68University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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11.353.240.0%1st Place
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14.58University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olin Paine | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Kieran Chung | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Markus Edegran | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| William Haeger | 6.6% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Duncan Howes | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 11.8% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Brady Stagg | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Alex Ramos | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% |
| Connor Trepton | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% |
| Judge Ryan | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% |
| David Alfonso | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Tony Collins | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 10.4% |
| Christopher Stessing | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.1% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.