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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+0.85vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.05+2.04vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.24+2.81vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.74+0.62vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.57-0.31vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-0.13vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-1.39-1.25vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.03-1.93vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.42-1.79vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-1.91-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85Stanford University2.6450.9%1st Place
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4.04University of Hawaii1.0510.5%1st Place
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5.81University of California at Los Angeles0.244.8%1st Place
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4.62University of California at Berkeley0.748.6%1st Place
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4.69University of California at Santa Barbara0.577.6%1st Place
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5.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.264.2%1st Place
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5.75University of Washington-1.395.5%1st Place
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6.07Western Washington University0.034.6%1st Place
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7.21University of California at San Diego-0.422.6%1st Place
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9.1University of California at Santa Cruz-1.910.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 50.9% | 26.8% | 13.7% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 10.5% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 3.5% |
| Katherine Olsen | 8.6% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| harriet jessup | 7.6% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Florence Duff | 4.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 4.5% |
| Emily Smith | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 3.5% |
| Caroline Hurley | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 5.1% |
| Amanda Brooks | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 27.7% | 14.0% |
| Lola Rao | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 12.2% | 67.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.