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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+6.55vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.65+7.55vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.15+8.97vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+6.68vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+5.26vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.36+0.52vs Predicted
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7Fordham University4.26+0.15vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.70+1.06vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin3.04+3.34vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia3.01+2.51vs Predicted
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11Stanford University4.19-3.75vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-3.99vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.79-3.74vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan2.97-1.38vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.77-1.56vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.89-2.94vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.69-7.76vs Predicted
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18Washington College2.84-4.59vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont2.55-4.53vs Predicted
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203.24-8.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.55Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.55College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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11.97University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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10.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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10.26St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
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6.52Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.15Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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9.06Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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12.34University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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12.51University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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7.25Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.01St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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9.26Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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12.62University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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13.44Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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13.06Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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9.24Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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13.41Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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14.47University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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11.623.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Jake Reynolds | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% |
| David Alfonso | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Markus Edegran | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Olin Paine | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brady Stagg | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Connor Trepton | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% |
| Christopher Stessing | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% |
| Kieran Chung | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Alex Ramos | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 12.7% |
| Tony Collins | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 11.2% |
| Judge Ryan | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.6% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 19.1% |
| Eddie Cox | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.