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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.53+1.67vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.57+3.16vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.57+1.27vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.74+0.10vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.53+1.95vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-0.64vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.42-0.23vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.24-2.51vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-1.39-3.78vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-1.91-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.5331.6%1st Place
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5.16University of Hawaii0.579.2%1st Place
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4.27University of California at Santa Barbara0.5713.8%1st Place
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4.1University of California at Berkeley0.7414.3%1st Place
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6.95Western Washington University-0.533.8%1st Place
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5.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.267.6%1st Place
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6.77University of California at San Diego-0.423.8%1st Place
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5.49University of California at Los Angeles0.246.6%1st Place
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5.22University of Washington-1.398.2%1st Place
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9.01University of California at Santa Cruz-1.911.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Austin | 31.6% | 23.0% | 18.9% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Hayden Lahr | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 1.8% |
| harriet jessup | 13.8% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Katherine Olsen | 14.3% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Claire Jablonski | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 24.4% | 11.8% |
| Florence Duff | 7.6% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 2.8% |
| Amanda Brooks | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 22.1% | 11.3% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 2.9% |
| Emily Smith | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 2.1% |
| Lola Rao | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 12.2% | 66.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.