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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.53+1.74vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.74+2.17vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.57+1.30vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.57+1.20vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+0.33vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-1.39-0.68vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.24-1.74vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.42-1.23vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.53-2.12vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-1.91-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.5329.3%1st Place
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4.17University of California at Berkeley0.7414.1%1st Place
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4.3University of California at Santa Barbara0.5713.3%1st Place
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5.2University of Hawaii0.579.2%1st Place
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5.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.267.8%1st Place
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5.32University of Washington-1.397.8%1st Place
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5.26University of California at Los Angeles0.249.4%1st Place
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6.77University of California at San Diego-0.424.8%1st Place
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6.88Western Washington University-0.533.3%1st Place
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9.04University of California at Santa Cruz-1.911.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Austin | 29.3% | 23.4% | 19.3% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 14.1% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| harriet jessup | 13.3% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Hayden Lahr | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 2.1% |
| Florence Duff | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 2.5% |
| Emily Smith | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 2.1% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 2.6% |
| Amanda Brooks | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 16.7% | 21.9% | 11.1% |
| Claire Jablonski | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 23.8% | 11.4% |
| Lola Rao | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 12.8% | 67.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.