Race 1A

maisa-spring-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Olivia de Olazarra 10.9% 11.2% 10.5% 11.7% 10.7% 9.3% 9.5% 8.2% 7.9% 5.2% 3.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Brooke Shachoy 12.6% 13.7% 12.8% 11.8% 11.8% 9.8% 9.1% 7.0% 5.9% 3.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Piper Holthus 20.3% 18.6% 14.9% 11.7% 10.4% 8.2% 6.2% 5.4% 2.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Amanda Majernik 8.1% 8.9% 8.9% 9.7% 10.1% 10.2% 9.8% 9.2% 9.0% 7.6% 4.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.4%
Emma AuBuchon 9.6% 8.6% 9.4% 8.6% 8.6% 10.8% 9.3% 10.3% 8.2% 8.1% 5.1% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Clara Guarascio 2.4% 2.2% 3.4% 3.7% 3.6% 4.0% 4.8% 5.9% 7.9% 10.8% 13.8% 16.1% 14.0% 7.5%
Bridget Groble 8.2% 8.3% 8.6% 9.6% 8.5% 9.4% 9.7% 9.8% 9.7% 8.1% 5.4% 3.2% 1.4% 0.1%
Katherine Bennett 8.9% 8.9% 9.4% 9.9% 11.0% 11.2% 10.3% 8.7% 7.3% 7.1% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Camille McGriff 7.6% 8.5% 8.8% 8.6% 9.2% 8.6% 9.5% 8.4% 10.1% 7.8% 6.8% 3.5% 2.1% 0.5%
Payton Canavan 5.3% 5.1% 5.8% 6.0% 7.2% 8.2% 8.3% 9.4% 10.3% 12.2% 9.6% 7.0% 3.9% 1.5%
Hannah Mercurio 1.4% 1.2% 1.6% 1.6% 1.7% 2.4% 2.6% 3.7% 4.2% 6.0% 9.8% 14.9% 21.3% 27.6%
Kennedy Jones 2.4% 2.3% 2.9% 4.0% 3.8% 4.3% 6.0% 6.8% 8.6% 10.2% 14.9% 16.0% 12.2% 5.7%
Maren Behnke 1.0% 1.1% 1.3% 2.1% 2.0% 1.9% 2.7% 4.0% 4.5% 5.6% 10.6% 15.4% 21.7% 26.2%
Bracklinn Williams 1.4% 1.4% 1.6% 1.1% 1.4% 1.8% 2.1% 3.4% 4.4% 6.0% 9.4% 15.2% 20.7% 30.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.